We said: Slovenia 2-1 Bulgaria
Although Slovenia were not exactly at their best last time out, we cannot ignore their form heading into this tournament. With that in mind, they should come through with yet another victory, potentially in a competitive contest against opposition who may be able to trouble them at times.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 47.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.