Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Serbia2 - 2Bulgaria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgium 1-0 Serbia
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Serbia | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 7 | -7 | 3 |
We said: Serbia 3-1 Bulgaria
There is a significant gulf in class between these two teams, albeit Serbia needed a last-gasp leveller to avoid defeat in Bulgaria. Set to confirm their trip to Germany in style, the home side should certainly score more than once in Leskovac, given the depth of attacking talent available to them. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Serbia | Draw | Bulgaria |
57.13% ( -0.21) | 21.94% ( -0) | 20.93% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
