Friendlies 1

Mar 21, 2024 at 6pm UK

Ta'Qali National Stadium

Malta
2 - 2
Slovenia

Guillaumier (54'), Pisani (58')
Pisani (51'), Montebello (66'), Pepe (74'), Mbong (75'), Muscat (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sporar (28'), Sesko (81')
Kurtic (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Malta and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions

Last Game: England 2-0 Malta
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	8	18	20
2	Italy	8	7	14
3	Ukraine	8	3	14
4	North Macedonia	8	-10	8
5	Malta	8	-18	0

Slovenia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: USA 0-1 Slovenia
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Slovenia are in superb form, and despite Malta's recent improvement, another defeat is on the cards for the tiny nation. Kek's men have lost just three of their last 14 away games, while they have won six of their previous seven across all venues, and another victory should be added to that run here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Malta had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Malta	Draw	Slovenia
18.69% ( 0)	24.45% ( -0)	56.87% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.39% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.93% (

55.07% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.67% (

76.33% (

-0)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.22% (

0.01)

43.78% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.06% (

0.01)

79.94% (

-0.01)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0)

19.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.01% (

-0)

50.99% (

Score Analysis

Malta 18.69%

Slovenia 56.85%

Draw 24.45%

Malta	Draw	Slovenia
1-0 @ 6.97% 2-1 @ 4.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.69%	1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 8.43% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 13.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-3 @ 6.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.19% 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 2.14% Other @ 3.76% Total : 56.85%