MX23RW : Monday, December 23 12:31:23| >> :600:6109957:6109957:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Slovenia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Kazakhstan national football team

Slovenia
2 - 1
Kazakhstan

Sesko (41' pen.), Verbic (86')
Verbic (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Orazov (48')
Vorogovskiy (40'), Kuat (61'), Maliy (79'), Alip (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Slovenia and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
Last Game: Denmark 2-1 Slovenia
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Last Game: Kazakhstan 3-1 San Marino
Friday, November 17 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Slovenia 3-1 Kazakhstan

 Despite a potentially tense affair being on the cards for hosts Slovenia, knowing they only need to avoid defeat may settle the side down slightly after defeat on Friday. Having come so close, Kazakhstan will be devastated if they are to fall at the final hurdle, but against a side who beat them at home earlier in the campaign, it may be just too much to ask for the dark horses in Group H. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawKazakhstan
57.15% (0.429 0.43) 23.84% (-0.186 -0.19) 19.01% (-0.246 -0.25)
Both teams to score 47.61% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61% (0.39599999999999 0.4)52.39% (-0.397 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93% (0.34 0.34)74.07% (-0.34100000000001 -0.34)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (0.306 0.31)18.14% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.89% (0.521 0.52)49.11% (-0.523 -0.52)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)41.84% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)78.29% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 57.13%
    Kazakhstan 19.01%
    Draw 23.84%
SloveniaDrawKazakhstan
1-0 @ 12.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 11.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.29% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 57.13%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.84%
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.01%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Kazakhstan

Slovenia
70.4%
Draw
17.3%
Kazakhstan
12.3%
81
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Kazakhstan
1-2
Slovenia
Samorodov (23')
Brekalo (47'), Vipotnik (78')
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