J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2022 at 9am UK
Avispa Fukuoka5 - 1FC Tokyo
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and FC Tokyo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League
Saturday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Next Game: Shonan Bellmare vs. FC Tokyo
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Consadole Sapporo | 37 | -1 | 51 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | FC Tokyo |
| 38.66% | 30% | 31.34% |
| Both teams to score 41.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
