Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.