Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oita Trinita win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oita Trinita win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oita Trinita would win this match.