Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.