J1 League | Gameweek 29
Sep 10, 2022 at 11am UK
Kincho Stadium
Cerezo2 - 1Sagan Tosu
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sagan Tosu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Consadole 2-1 Cerezo
Friday, September 2 at 11.30am in J1 League
Friday, September 2 at 11.30am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-3 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
43.18% ( -0.14) | 25.63% ( 0) | 31.19% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 54.19% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.33% ( 0.04) | 49.67% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.32% ( 0.04) | 71.68% ( -0.04) |
Cerezo Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% ( -0.05) | 22.9% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.34% ( -0.07) | 56.66% ( 0.07) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.29% ( 0.11) | 29.71% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.23% ( 0.14) | 65.77% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Cerezo Osaka 43.18%
Sagan Tosu 31.19%
Draw 25.63%
Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.19% |
Head to Head
May 3, 2022 7am
Jul 24, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
3-3
Cerezo
Sakai (1'), Koyamatsu (8'), Higuchi (45+1')
Iino (51')
Iino (51')
Kato (18', 69'), Sakamoto (87' pen.)
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')
Apr 2, 2021 11am
Dec 16, 2020 10am
Jul 26, 2020 11am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-10-02 09:23:53
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 63 | 32 | 31 | 62 |
2 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 61 |
3 | Machida Zelvia | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 59 |
4 | Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 50 |
5 | Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 50 |
6 | Tokyo Verdy | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 48 |
7 | FC Tokyo | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 47 |
8 | Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Cerezo OsakaCerezo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
10 | Yokohama F MarinosYokohama | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 41 |
11 | Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 40 |
12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 40 |
13 | Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 39 |
14 | Albirex Niigata | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 39 |
15 | Kyoto Sanga | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 38 |
16 | Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 35 |
17 | Kashiwa ReysolReysol | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 35 |
18 | Jubilo Iwata | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 32 |
19 | Consadole SapporoConsadole | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 29 |
20 | Sagan Tosu | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 25 |
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