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Juventus logo
Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2021 at 5pm UK
Juventus Stadium
Atalanta logo

Juventus
0 - 1
Atalanta


Cuadrado (50'), Rabiot (66'), Bernardeschi (79'), Locatelli (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zapata (28')
Freuler (32'), Malinovskyi (37'), Zappacosta (43'), Demiral (70'), Djimsiti (85')

Preview: Juventus vs. Atalanta BC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Separated by four points and as many places in the Serie A standings, Juventus and Atalanta BC meet in Turin on Saturday, with the hosts seeking to make up lost ground on their rivals.

Though the Bianconeri - already qualified thanks to a previously flawless record - were thumped by Chelsea in the Champions League, they have won both of their last two league games. Their visitors, meanwhile, sit fourth after a six-game unbeaten run.


Match preview

Juventus attacker Federico Chiesa in action against Chelsea on November 23, 2021© Reuters

Despite meekly succumbing to a revenge mission by the European champions on Tuesday, qualification to the Champions League last 16 had already been assured by Juventus after the first four games of a continental campaign which contrasts starkly with their league form.

Therefore, a 4-0 humbling at Stamford Bridge may not overly concern coach Max Allegri, who had previously steered his side to two hard-fought victories in domestic competition either side of the international break.

Juve ended a three-game winless run in Serie A with a home victory against 10-man Fiorentina at the start of November - registering Allegri's 200th win at the club in the process - and they followed that up with a 2-0 success against Lazio last weekend, when a penalty in each half from stand-in skipper Leonardo Bonucci secured three precious points.

Signs of a revival are possibly emerging, as over their last nine league matches, Juventus have gained 19 points: one more than Saturday's opponents and only fewer than Milan and Napoli during that period.

Nonetheless, they sit eighth in the standings - 11 points off the summit - and are in need of an extended run of consistency following a stuttering start marked by defeats to Empoli, Sassuolo and Verona.

Precedent is certainly in favour of Juve making it three on the spin this weekend, as they are unbeaten in their last 24 home games against Atalanta in Serie A - winning on 18 occasions. However, that may count for little when they come face to face with one of Calcio's form sides, who remain unbeaten on the road.

Atalanta's Jose Luis Palomino celebrates scoring their second goal on November 23, 2021© Reuters

Travelling to Turin with a record of five wins from their first six Serie A road trips this term, Atalanta should be cautiously optimistic of ending their barren run on opposition soil in this fixture.

Such form has contributed to La Dea maintaining a top-four slot heading into the hectic winter period, but a series of draws have undermined their efforts to push on and challenge for the top honours at home and abroad.

After being held in league games against Udinese and Lazio in recent weeks, Atalanta have also dropped nine points from leading positions in the Champions League, including two capitulations to Manchester United.

Their latest failure to secure maximum points came away to Young Boys in midweek, when Gian Piero Gasperini's men were twice pegged back by the hosts, before supersub Luis Muriel had to intervene with a late free-kick in order to salvage a 3-3 draw. Therefore, the Bergamaschi will face a decisive clash for a place in the knockout stages with Villarreal early next month.

Though they have drawn three of their five group games in pursuit of a third consecutive qualification for the last 16, Atalanta are faring better in the league, and back-to-back wins against lowly Cagliari and Spezia keep them in contention for a wide-open Scudetto race.

A tally of 17 goals from their last six outings in all competitions suggests that they are also back to their free-scoring best, and they have netted twice the number of open-play goals that Juventus have managed in Serie A this season, ahead of the clubs' clash at the Allianz Stadium.

Juventus Serie A form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

Juventus form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Atalanta BC Serie A form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Atalanta BC form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Juventus' Moise Kean celebrates scoring their first goal with Federico Bernardeschi on October 17, 2021© Reuters

After a morale-sapping trip to London in midweek, Juventus will at least be bolstered by the return to training of captain Giorgio Chiellini and his fellow Italy international Federico Bernardeschi, who will both be back at Max Allegri's disposal on Saturday.

Paulo Dybala was fit enough to feature from the bench against Chelsea and should be involved at some stage, but Danilo, Mattia Di Sciglio and Aaron Ramsey are sidelined through injury.

Alongside Dybala, Moise Kean is a contender to feature up front if Allegri opts to switch the versatile Federico Chiesa back to the wing, but one of the three should partner Alvaro Morata in the home side's attack.

Atalanta's lengthy injury list has recently receded, but wing-backs Robin Gosens and Hans Hateboer are yet to return to the squad and young centre-back Matteo Lovato is out with a hamstring injury.

Even though Luis Muriel - yet to score against Juve in his career - saved the day in Bern with a late goal, Duvan Zapata should once more start as the visitors' lone centre-forward.

Meanwhile, midfield mainstays Marten de Roon and Remo Freuler should start in the engine room, behind a creative department featuring Mario Pasalic, who has been directly involved in more Serie A goals this season than any other midfielder (nine in total – four goals and five assists).

Juventus possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Cuadrado, Bonucci, De Ligt, Pellegrini; Chiesa, McKennie, Locatelli, Rabiot; Morata, Dybala

Atalanta BC possible starting lineup:
Musso; Toloi, Palomino, Djimsiti; Zappacosta, Freuler, De Roon, Maehle; Malinovskyi, Pasalic; Zapata


SM words green background

We say: Juventus 1-1 Atalanta BC

Despite their stumble in Switzerland this week, Atalanta's away form this season has been mightily impressive, so they can take a point home from Turin to keep Juventus at bay in the ongoing contest for a top-four position.

La Dea's customary attacking width can cause problems for an often unbalanced Juve midfield, but they may come up just short of a first win at the Old Lady's home ground since the turn of the century.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:471135:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect12462:
Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Juventus vs Atalanta

Juventus
57.1%
Draw
23.1%
Atalanta BC
19.9%
156
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