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Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Excelsior

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 2
Excelsior

Oukili (21', 60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
van den Buijs (74' og.), Baas (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-4 Feyenoord
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 SBV Excelsior

Waalwijk are yet to draw a game this season, but that could end on Saturday, as they welcome an Excelsior side with more stalemates (six) than any side in the Eredivisie. A tie extends the home side's undefeated run against this weekend's opponents to five. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
31.52% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 23.65% (0.0019999999999989 0) 44.82% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.17% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.39% (0.012999999999998 0.01)40.6% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.01% (0.012 0.01)62.98% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.039999999999992 0.04)25.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (0.059000000000005 0.06)59.69% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)18.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)49.56% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 31.52%
    SBV Excelsior 44.82%
    Draw 23.65%
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.52%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.57%
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 44.82%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Excelsior

RKC Waalwijk
14.3%
Draw
42.9%
SBV Excelsior
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Sep 4, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 5
RKC Waalwijk
5-2
Excelsior
Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
Second Round
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Excelsior
Bilate (53'), Gaari (81')
Gaari (37'), Mulder (88')
Fortes (71')
Koolwijk (40')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC Twente7421135814
4FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


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