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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Villarreal logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Villarreal

Sancet (66')
Prados (10'), Williams (31'), Berchiche (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Parejo (90+5' pen.)
Albiol (34'), Comesana (35')
Comesana (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Villarreal

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, with Villarreal in strong form, while Athletic are battling to break into the top four. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Sunday, but we are expecting the hosts to navigate their way to an important three points at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
60.03% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 21.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 18.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.77% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.51% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)42.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (0.0030000000000001 0)75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 60.01%
    Villarreal 18.25%
    Draw 21.72%
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.4%
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 60.01%
1-1 @ 10.29%
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 18.25%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal

Athletic Bilbao
60.8%
Draw
31.4%
Villarreal
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Villarreal
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Moreno (86'), Sorloth (87')
Gabbia (19'), Albiol (72'), Mandi (74'), Femenia (76')
Ruiz de Galarreta (2'), Williams (22'), Williams (30')
Williams (41'), de Marcos (44'), Garcia (89'), Ruiz de Galarreta (90+2')
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Villarreal
5-1
Athletic Bilbao
Baena (24', 90'), Jackson (37', 50'), Paredes (61' og.)
Capoue (1'), Parejo (45'), Torres (45+3'), Pedraza (58')
Sancet (45+3' pen.)
Paredes (54'), Herrera (54'), Williams (68')
Oct 30, 2022 5.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Villarreal
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Pedraza (60')
Pedraza (50'), Mandi (81')
Garcia (43')
Petxarroman (85'), Garcia (90'), Sancet (90+1')
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Villarreal
Garcia (14'), Muniain (77' pen.)
Coquelin (32')
Foyth (55'), Moreno (76'), Estupinan (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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