La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
Osasuna

Budimir (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Eldense 1-6 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, January 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Gimnastic 1-2 Osasuna
Thursday, January 5 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna

Osasuna are more than capable of making this a tricky match for Athletic, and we are expecting a close game on Monday night. The Basque outfit have been strong at home this season, though, picking up 16 points from eight matches, and we are backing them to secure a vital three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Osasuna
53.29% ( 0.1)	25.54% ( -0.03)	21.17% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 45.98% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.78% (

0.05)

56.21% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.73% (

0.04)

77.26% (

-0.05)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.86% (

0.06)

21.14% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.01% (

0.1)

53.98% (

-0.1)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.31% (

-0.04)

41.69% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.83% (

-0.03)

78.17% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 53.28%

Osasuna 21.17%

Draw 25.54%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.28%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.17%