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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
Osasuna

FT

Budimir (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnastic 1-2 Osasuna
Thursday, January 5 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna

Osasuna are more than capable of making this a tricky match for Athletic, and we are expecting a close game on Monday night. The Basque outfit have been strong at home this season, though, picking up 16 points from eight matches, and we are backing them to secure a vital three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
53.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 25.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 21.17% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.78% (0.053999999999995 0.05)56.21% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (0.044 0.04)77.26% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.060999999999993 0.06)21.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)53.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)41.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.83% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)78.17% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 53.28%
    Osasuna 21.17%
    Draw 25.54%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.28%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
76.1%
Draw
15.9%
Osasuna
8.0%
138
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Jan 3, 2022 8pm
Osasuna
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')
Avila (90+4')
Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')
May 8, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Morcillo (1'), Sancet (62')
Vencedor (50'), Marcelino (71')
Brasanac (12'), Budimir (89')
Torro (26'), Brasanac (90+2')
Oct 24, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Garcia (81' pen.)
Garcia (16'), Arrasate Elustondo (45'), Sanjurjo (54'), Vidal (63')
Arrasate Elustondo (78')

Alvarez (24'), Garcia (26')
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Osasuna

Vencedor (27'), San Jose (33'), Martinez (77'), Aduriz (80')
Sanjurjo (29')
Roncaglia (38'), Sanjurjo (39'), Gallego (48'), Brasanac (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13GironaGirona2796123540-533
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2677122537-1228
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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