La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 21, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
3 - 0
Osasuna

Carrasco (44'), Niguez (62'), Correa (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Budimir (28'), Pena (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Elche 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, May 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 3-1 Almeria
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna

Osasuna have often proved to be a tough nut to crack on their travels this season, picking up points in 11 of their 17 away league games. Atletico will be determined to bounce back from their shock loss to Elche, though, and we are backing Simeone's side to secure a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 83.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 4.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.29%) and 1-0 (12.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
83.81% ( 0.7)	12.06% ( -0.4)	4.13% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 31.37% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.36% (

0.28)

42.64% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.96% (

0.28)

65.04% (

-0.28)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.35% (

0.22)

7.65% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.69% (

0.57)

27.31% (

-0.57)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.97% (

-1.07)

66.03% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.57% (

-0.45)

93.43% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 83.79%

Osasuna 4.13%

Draw 12.06%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
2-0 @ 16.68% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 14.29% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 12.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.04% Total : 83.79%	1-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.06%	0-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.92% Total : 4.13%