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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Almeria

Betis
3 - 2
Almeria

Fornals (8'), Isco (28'), Perez (64')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baptistao (45+1'), Romero (66')
Pena (40'), Chumi (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Betis
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Betis 2-0 Almeria

Almeria will certainly have gained confidence from their success over Rayo last time out, but this is a different test entirely, with Real Betis pushing for the top six, and we are expecting a routine home success for Pellegrini's side on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawAlmeria
58.14% (0.585 0.59) 21.82% (0.138 0.14) 20.03% (-0.721 -0.72)
Both teams to score 55.62% (-1.65 -1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43% (-1.633 -1.63)42.57% (1.637 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-1.648 -1.65)64.97% (1.651 1.65)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.355 -0.36)14.36% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.77% (-0.7 -0.7)42.23% (0.704 0.7)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-1.648 -1.65)35.05% (1.653 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (-1.768 -1.77)71.8% (1.773 1.77)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 58.14%
    Almeria 20.03%
    Draw 21.82%
Real BetisDrawAlmeria
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.576 0.58)
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.441 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.209 0.21)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.14%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.358 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Betis vs Almeria

Real Betis
88.9%
Draw
6.3%
Almeria
4.8%
63
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Almeria
0-0
Betis
Roca (52'), Diao (73'), Silva (83')
Bellerin (27')
Feb 11, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 21
Almeria
2-3
Betis
Suarez Charris (27'), Samu (62')
Rodri (6'), Canales (42'), Guardado (70')
Oct 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Betis
3-1
Almeria
Carvalho (23', 71'), Iglesias (66')
Dec 16, 2014 9pm
Round Four
Almeria
2-1
Betis
Michel (59'), Zongo (74')
Michel (9'), Bifouma (46'), Trujillo (71'), Corona (84')
Perquis (78')
Perquis (50'), Piccini (61')
Dec 5, 2014 9pm
Round Four
Betis
3-4
Almeria
Castro (80'), Perquis (86'), Molina (90')
Perquis (36'), Caro (60'), Casado (63')
Mane (3'), Dangda (7'), Quique (29'), Mendez (61')
Sanchez (46'), Dangda (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13GironaGirona2796123540-533
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2677122537-1228
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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