Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Sevilla |
40.55% ( 1.11) | 27.04% ( 0.36) | 32.41% ( -1.47) |
Both teams to score 50.18% ( -1.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.97% ( -1.71) | 55.03% ( 1.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.7% ( -1.43) | 76.3% ( 1.43) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( -0.18) | 26.65% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.11% ( -0.24) | 61.88% ( 0.25) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% ( -1.83) | 31.6% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32% ( -2.16) | 68% ( 2.16) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |