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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Villarreal logo

Almeria
1 - 2
Villarreal

Lozano (30')
Viera (73'), Ramazani (80')
Ramazani (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akhomach (25'), Sorloth (90+2')
Akhomach (50'), Coquelin (59'), Jorgensen (62'), Femenia (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Villarreal
Sunday, April 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-2 Villarreal

 Almeria are seeking a first La Liga success over Villarreal for 14 years, but we are finding it difficult to predict a positive result for the basement side. Villarreal are in excellent form on their travels, and we are backing the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawVillarreal
35.28% (-1.127 -1.13) 25.08% (0.187 0.19) 39.63% (0.936 0.94)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.805 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (-0.983 -0.98)46.17% (0.979 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (-0.933 -0.93)68.47% (0.931 0.93)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (-1.091 -1.09)25.46% (1.088 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (-1.513 -1.51)60.29% (1.51 1.51)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.040999999999997 0.04)23.12% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (0.062999999999995 0.06)56.98% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 35.28%
    Villarreal 39.63%
    Draw 25.08%
AlmeriaDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.083000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.241 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.111 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.362 0.36)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.273 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.63%

How you voted: Almeria vs Villarreal

Almeria
7.4%
Draw
14.8%
Villarreal
77.8%
54
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 5
Villarreal
2-1
Almeria
Moreno (45+5'), Sorloth (90+4')
Capoue (26'), Pino (90+2')
Akieme (44')
Embarba (53'), Chumi (84'), Puigmal (89')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Almeria
0-2
Villarreal
Moreno (76'), Luis Morales (88')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Villarreal
2-1
Almeria
Baena (56'), Jackson (90+4')
Melero (31')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2018 7.30pm
Round of 32
Villarreal
8-0
Almeria
Toko Ekambi (23', 30', 36', 47'), Bacca (45', 83' pen.), Moreno (67'), Raba (89')

Castellano (40'), Arzura (81')
Nov 1, 2018 5.30pm
Round of 32
Almeria
3-3
Villarreal
Chema (52' pen.), Gassama (86', 90')
Trujillo (43'), Brice Eteki (90')
Cazorla (67'), Callejon (78' og.), Chukwueze (83')
Gaspar (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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