Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
37.59% ( 0.7) | 25.41% ( -0.16) | 36.99% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% ( 0.7) | 47.56% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% ( 0.65) | 69.76% ( -0.65) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% ( 0.71) | 24.82% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.6% ( 0.98) | 59.4% ( -0.98) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.85% ( 0.02) | 25.14% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.14% ( 0.04) | 59.85% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.82% Total : 37.59% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |