La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 14, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
0 - 0
Girona

Baptistao (21'), Fernandes (22'), Akieme (56'), Montes (79'), Fernandes (84')

Fernandez (34'), Juanpe (65'), Savio (71'), Martinez (90+7')
Garcia (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Almeria
Thursday, January 4 at 4pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Elche 0-2 Girona
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

This has the potential to be a tricky match for Girona, and it would not be a complete shock if Almeria were able to hold the title challengers to a draw on Sunday. Girona are very much in the winning habit at the moment, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Girona
27.76% ( 0.03)	23.51% ( 0.01)	48.73% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 59.21% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.88% (

-0.01)

42.12% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.47% (

-0.01)

64.52% (

0.01)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

0.02)

28.26% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.02% (

0.02)

63.98% (

-0.02)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54% (

-0.02)

17.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.07% (

-0.03)

47.93% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Almeria 27.76%

Girona 48.73%

Draw 23.51%

Almeria	Draw	Girona
2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.76%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.88% Total : 48.73%