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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Atletico Madrid logo

Girona
4 - 3
Atletico

Fernandez (2'), Savio (26'), Blind (39'), Martin (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Morata (14', 44', 54')
Hermoso (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Girona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 1-1 Girona
Thursday, December 21 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-1 Atletico Madrid

Atleti have shown inconsistency in their recent league games, and if they are unable to produce their best form against Girona, they could experience a difficult evening. With that in mind, we think that a free-scoring Girona side will continue their remarkable season by condemning the visitors to a fourth consecutive away defeat in La Liga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
44.8% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 24.84% (0.436 0.44) 30.35% (-0.511 -0.51)
Both teams to score 56.39% (-1.766 -1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (-2.192 -2.19)46.61% (2.195 2.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (-2.092 -2.09)68.88% (2.094 2.09)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (-0.867 -0.87)20.86% (0.87 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (-1.38 -1.38)53.55% (1.382 1.38)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-1.43 -1.43)28.74% (1.435 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-1.821 -1.82)64.58% (1.824 1.82)
Score Analysis
    Girona 44.8%
    Atletico Madrid 30.35%
    Draw 24.84%
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.608 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.207 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 44.8%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 6% (0.536 0.54)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.235 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.35%

How you voted: Girona vs Atletico

Girona
63.3%
Draw
17.3%
Atletico Madrid
19.3%
150
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Girona
0-1
Atletico
Morata (90+1')
Oct 8, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
2-1
Girona
Correa (5', 48')
Riquelme (66')
Apr 2, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Atletico
2-0
Girona
Godin (76'), Griezmann (90')
Arias (48')
Jan 16, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
3-3
Girona
Kalinic (12'), Correa (66'), Griezmann (84')
Hernandez (69'), Griezmann (85')
Fernandez (37'), Stuani (59'), Doumbia (88')
Iraizoz (90'), Porro (90')
Jan 9, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
1-1
Atletico
Lozano (34')
Griezmann (9')
Montero (27'), Godin (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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