Copa del Rey | Round of 32

Jan 6, 2024 at 5pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero

Elche
0 - 2
Girona

Bigas (24'), Morente (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Blind (37'), Couto (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa del Rey clash between Elche and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Elche 0-0 Mirandes
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Girona 4-3 Atletico
Wednesday, January 3 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Should Girona rotate their starting lineup after their demanding victory against Atletico less than 72 hours prior to this cup fixture, Elche's chances of causing an upset will clearly increase. However, the visitors have serious momentum at the moment and may fancy adding a cup run as another string to their bow this season. Their victories rarely come easily, and Saturday's trip to Elche could prove to be more of the same. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Girona
43.27% ( 0.04)	24.92% ( 0.01)	31.82% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.84% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.66% (

-0.03)

46.35% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.37% (

-0.03)

68.63% (

0.03)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56% (

21.45% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.54% (

54.47% (

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36% (

-0.04)

27.65% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.81% (

-0.05)

63.2% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Elche 43.27%

Girona 31.82%

Draw 24.92%

Elche	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.27%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.82%