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La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Celta Vigo logo

Atletico
1 - 1
Celta Vigo

Sorloth (81')
De Paul (65'), Gimenez (67'), Le Normand (67')
Barrios (7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aspas (68' pen.)
Dominguez (31'), Duran Fernandez (47'), Alonso (72'), Losada (80'), Iglesias (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-2 Betis
Saturday, February 8 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Celta Vigo

Celta are a dangerous outfit, and the visitors are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Atletico. However, we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a routine home success for the title-challenging hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
63.09% (-0.513 -0.51) 21.22% (0.262 0.26) 15.68% (0.247 0.25)
Both teams to score 49.07% (-0.283 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.672 -0.67)47.03% (0.669 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.63 -0.63)69.28% (0.627 0.63)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.375 -0.38)14.28% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.93% (-0.73 -0.73)42.07% (0.726 0.73)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.25% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)42.75% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.92% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)79.08% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 63.09%
    Celta Vigo 15.68%
    Draw 21.22%
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 11.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.5% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.65% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 63.09%
1-1 @ 10.09% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.22%
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 4.29% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 15.68%

How you voted: Atletico vs Celta Vigo

Atletico Madrid
88.8%
Draw
10.0%
Celta Vigo
1.3%
80
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 7
Celta Vigo
0-1
Atletico

Starfelt (33'), Rodriguez Galiano (90+2')
Alvarez (90')
Mandava (38'), Gimenez (76')
May 12, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico
1-0
Celta Vigo
De Paul (84')
Witsel (72')

Starfelt (36')
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
0-3
Atletico

Mingueza (30'), Starfelt (51'), Rodriguez (87')
Villar (25')
Griezmann (29' pen., 64', 70')
Niguez (54'), Riquelme (87')
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Veiga (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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