Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.