Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
17.92% ( 0.18) | 24.97% ( 0.18) | 57.11% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 42.8% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.16% ( -0.41) | 57.84% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.43% ( -0.32) | 78.57% ( 0.32) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.66% ( -0.02) | 46.33% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.02% ( -0.02) | 81.98% ( 0.02) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.76% ( -0.3) | 20.24% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.42% ( -0.49) | 52.58% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 17.92% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 14.98% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 11.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 57.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
6 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |