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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Athletic Bilbao logo

Getafe
2 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Alena (27'), El Haddadi (76')
Iglesias (14'), Suarez (19'), Duarte (25'), Alena (31'), Mata (45'), Algobia (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (2'), Garcia (62')
Sancet (18'), Herrera (64'), Zarraga (80'), Martinez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Getafe 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

On paper, Athletic are the favourites here, but it is difficult to ignore their recent struggles against Getafe when picking a result. The Basque outfit will be determined to return to winning ways, but we are backing Getafe to secure a share of the spoils on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GetafeDrawAthletic Bilbao
17.92% (0.177 0.18) 24.97% (0.184 0.18) 57.11% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 42.8% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.16% (-0.408 -0.41)57.84% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.43% (-0.323 -0.32)78.57% (0.321 0.32)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)46.33% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.02% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)81.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.304 -0.3)20.24% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.42% (-0.486 -0.49)52.58% (0.485 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 17.92%
    Athletic Bilbao 57.1%
    Draw 24.96%
GetafeDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 4.43% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.78% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 17.92%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.38% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 14.98% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 11.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 57.1%

How you voted: Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao

Getafe
19.7%
Draw
21.7%
Athletic Bilbao
58.6%
198
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Getafe
Berchiche (29')
Vesga (79'), de Marcos (88'), Petxarroman (90+3'), Alvarez (90+6')
Unal (3')
Mitrovic (25'), Unal (32'), Dakonam (86'), Mata (90+3'), Suarez (90+7')
Cuenca (65'), Jankto (90')
Dec 6, 2021 8pm
Getafe
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Dakonam (15'), Mata (90+5')
Flores (90+5')

Morcillo (90+4')
Jan 25, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
5-1
Getafe
Garcia (12', 61'), Alvarez (50'), Berenguer (75'), De Marcos (82')
Nunez (9'), Garcia (17'), Garcia (40'), Vencedor (57')
Cucurella (1')
Maksimovic (8'), Mata (50'), Etxeita (57'), Dakonam (79')
Nov 29, 2020 3.15pm
Feb 2, 2020 3pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Getafe

Berchiche (63'), Martinez (86')
Suarez (36'), Mata (50' pen.)
Deyverson (12'), Arambarri (40'), Mata (63'), Suarez (67'), Nyom (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal137422521425
5Osasuna146441922-322
6GironaGirona146352018221
7Mallorca146351312121
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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