Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
28.29% ( -0.09) | 25.81% ( -0.06) | 45.91% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.27% ( 0.18) | 51.73% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.49% ( 0.15) | 73.51% ( -0.15) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% ( 0.03) | 32.86% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.57% ( 0.03) | 69.43% ( -0.03) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.5% ( 0.15) | 22.51% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% ( 0.22) | 56.07% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |