MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:50:31| >> :600:402385:402385:
Champions League header

Champions League
Celtic logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
Atletico Madrid logo

Celtic
2 - 2
Atletico

Furuhashi (4'), Palma (28')
Carter-Vickers (30'), Palma (51'), Taylor (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Griezmann (25'), Morata (53')
De Paul (34'), Galan (38'), Molina (45+4'), Savic (82')
De Paul (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Celtic and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Hearts 1-4 Celtic
Sunday, October 22 at 2.15pm in Scottish Premiership

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-3 Atletico
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Celtic 0-2 Atletico Madrid

 Failure to win in the Italian capital on matchday one means Atletico are winless in their last five Champions League group stage away games, but their recent form suggests they can end that run here. Celtic have lost both of their opening games, and despite good form domestically, this will likely be a difficult evening, and their 10-year wait for a home win in this competition may go on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
CelticDrawAtletico Madrid
48.17% (-0.381 -0.38) 24.06% (0.127 0.13) 27.77% (0.255 0.25)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.223 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36% (-0.387 -0.39)44.64% (0.391 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (-0.374 -0.37)67% (0.37700000000001 0.38)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (-0.301 -0.3)18.65% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (-0.512 -0.51)49.97% (0.514 0.51)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.012 -0.01)29.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.58% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 48.17%
    Atletico Madrid 27.77%
    Draw 24.06%
CelticDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.17%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.044 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 27.77%

How you voted: Celtic vs Atletico

Celtic
13.5%
Draw
9.1%
Atletico Madrid
77.4%
208
rhs 2.0
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