Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
Celtic2 - 2Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hearts 1-4 Celtic
Sunday, October 22 at 2.15pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, October 22 at 2.15pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-3 Atletico
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Celtic 0-2 Atletico Madrid
Failure to win in the Italian capital on matchday one means Atletico are winless in their last five Champions League group stage away games, but their recent form suggests they can end that run here. Celtic have lost both of their opening games, and despite good form domestically, this will likely be a difficult evening, and their 10-year wait for a home win in this competition may go on. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
48.17% ( -0.38) | 24.06% ( 0.13) | 27.77% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
