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La Liga
Celta Vigo logo
La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Atletico Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
0 - 3
Atletico


Mingueza (30'), Starfelt (51'), Rodriguez (87')
Villar (25')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Griezmann (29' pen., 64', 70')
Niguez (54'), Riquelme (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Getafe
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, October 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 0-1 Atletico Madrid

 Atletico are flying at the moment, and we are backing them to post a fifth straight league win over Celta this weekend. Simeone's side recorded a 1-0 victory in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline occurring on Saturday, which would make it six wins in a row for Atletico in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
32.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 39.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.64% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)55.77% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (0.038 0.04)76.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.028000000000006 0.03)31.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.1% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (0.02300000000001 0.02)27.34% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (0.030999999999999 0.03)62.79% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 32.83%
    Atletico Madrid 39.91%
    Draw 27.26%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.83%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.91%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Atletico

Celta Vigo
14.0%
Draw
10.8%
Atletico Madrid
75.3%
93
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 21
Celta Vigo
0-1
Atletico
Depay (89')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Veiga (71')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
1-2
Atletico
Aspas (59' pen.)
Suarez (77'), Solari (86'), Fontan (90'), Aspas (90+5')
Mallo (90+5')
Correa (23', 64')
Lemar (11'), Llorente (57'), Kondogbia (61'), Carrasco (90+2'), Gimenez (90+8')
Hermoso (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Atletico
2-2
Celta Vigo
Suarez (45', 50')
Felipe (23'), Gimenez (67')
Mina (13'), Ferreyra (89')
Tapia (5'), Suarez (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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