La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
0 - 3
Atletico

Mingueza (30'), Starfelt (51'), Rodriguez (87')
Villar (25')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Griezmann (29' pen., 64', 70')
Niguez (54'), Riquelme (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Getafe
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, October 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celta Vigo 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico are flying at the moment, and we are backing them to post a fifth straight league win over Celta this weekend. Simeone's side recorded a 1-0 victory in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline occurring on Saturday, which would make it six wins in a row for Atletico in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Atletico Madrid
32.83% ( 0.01)	27.26% ( -0.01)	39.91% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.64% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.23% (

0.05)

55.77% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.1% (

0.04)

76.9% (

-0.04)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.31% (

0.03)

31.69% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.9% (

0.03)

68.1% (

-0.04)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66% (

0.02)

27.34% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.2% (

0.03)

62.79% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 32.83%

Atletico Madrid 39.91%

Draw 27.26%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.83%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.91%