La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves1 - 1Leganes
We said: Alaves 1-1 Leganes
The last three La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished 1-1, and we are predicting the same scoreline here. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away win on Saturday afternoon, but a lot of the signs are pointing towards a draw, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Leganes |
39.63% ( -0.37) | 29.63% ( -0.13) | 30.73% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.57% ( 0.5) | 64.43% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.51% ( 0.35) | 83.49% ( -0.35) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( 0.04) | 31.76% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.81% ( 0.04) | 68.19% ( -0.04) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.19% ( 0.66) | 37.8% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.42% ( 0.64) | 74.57% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
Alaves 39.63%
Leganes 30.73%
Draw 29.62%
| Alaves | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 39.63% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.62% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.69% Total : 30.73% |
How you voted: Alaves vs Leganes
Alaves
59.0%Draw
35.9%Leganes
5.1%39
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 8pm
Aug 13, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 1
Leganes
1-2
Alaves
Dec 13, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 17
Alaves
1-1
Leganes
