La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona4 - 3Leganes
We said: Girona 1-1 Leganes
Girona have a severe injury crisis at the moment, and with Leganes entering this match in good form and with a strong squad available, we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Leganes |
53.16% ( 0.16) | 24.13% ( -0.04) | 22.71% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( 0.03) | 49.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( 0.03) | 71.29% ( -0.03) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( 0.07) | 18.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.34% ( 0.13) | 49.65% ( -0.13) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.78% ( -0.1) | 36.21% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27% ( -0.1) | 72.99% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Girona 53.15%
Leganes 22.71%
Draw 24.13%
| Girona | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.71% |
How you voted: Girona vs Leganes
Girona
72.9%Draw
22.0%Leganes
5.1%59
Form Guide
