La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal3 - 0Alaves
We said: Villarreal 2-1 Alaves
Alaves can take encouragement from their recent record against Villarreal, and we are expecting Saturday's game to be close in terms of the scoreline. However, the Yellow Submarine should be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Alaves |
46.18% ( 0.37) | 24.5% ( -0.16) | 29.32% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.37% ( 0.59) | 45.62% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.05% ( 0.56) | 67.95% ( -0.56) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( 0.4) | 19.86% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.04% ( 0.64) | 51.96% ( -0.64) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.15) | 28.96% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.15% ( 0.18) | 64.85% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Villarreal 46.18%
Alaves 29.32%
Draw 24.5%
| Villarreal | Draw | Alaves |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.32% |
How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves
Villarreal
85.9%Draw
12.5%Alaves
1.6%64
Head to Head
Form Guide
