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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves logo

Villarreal
3 - 0
Alaves

Akhomach (38'), Parejo (81' pen.), Comesana (90')
Cardona (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guevara (62'), Martin (74'), Tenaglia (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Poblense 1-6 Villarreal
Tuesday, October 29 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Mallorca
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Alaves

 Alaves can take encouragement from their recent record against Villarreal, and we are expecting Saturday's game to be close in terms of the scoreline. However, the Yellow Submarine should be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlaves
46.18% (0.371 0.37) 24.5% (-0.158 -0.16) 29.32% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.93% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.37% (0.587 0.59)45.62% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.05% (0.556 0.56)67.95% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.398 0.4)19.86% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04% (0.64 0.64)51.96% (-0.642 -0.64)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.14699999999999 0.15)28.96% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.182 0.18)64.85% (-0.184 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 46.18%
    Alaves 29.32%
    Draw 24.5%
VillarrealDrawAlaves
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.32%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves

Villarreal
85.9%
Draw
12.5%
Alaves
1.6%
64
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
1-1
Villarreal
Omorodion (25')
Garcia (90+2')
Cuenca (42')
Cuenca (44'), Sorloth (71')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Villarreal
1-1
Alaves
Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
> Preview
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Joselu (17'), Mendez (80')
Garcia (69'), Mendez (74')
Alcacer (50')
Pedraza (63')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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