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Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves logo

Villarreal
3 - 0
Alaves

Akhomach (38'), Parejo (81' pen.), Comesana (90')
Cardona (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guevara (62'), Martin (74'), Tenaglia (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Poblense 1-6 Villarreal
Tuesday, October 29 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Mallorca
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Alaves

Alaves can take encouragement from their recent record against Villarreal, and we are expecting Saturday's game to be close in terms of the scoreline. However, the Yellow Submarine should be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlaves
46.18% (0.371 0.37) 24.5% (-0.158 -0.16) 29.32% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.93% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.37% (0.587 0.59)45.62% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.05% (0.556 0.56)67.95% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.398 0.4)19.86% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04% (0.64 0.64)51.96% (-0.642 -0.64)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.14699999999999 0.15)28.96% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.182 0.18)64.85% (-0.184 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 46.18%
    Alaves 29.32%
    Draw 24.5%
VillarrealDrawAlaves
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.32%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves

Villarreal
85.9%
Draw
12.5%
Alaves
1.6%
64
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
1-1
Villarreal
Omorodion (25')
Garcia (90+2')
Cuenca (42')
Cuenca (44'), Sorloth (71')
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Villarreal
1-1
Alaves
Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Joselu (17'), Mendez (80')
Garcia (69'), Mendez (74')
Alcacer (50')
Pedraza (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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