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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves logo

Villarreal
3 - 0
Alaves

Akhomach (38'), Parejo (81' pen.), Comesana (90')
Cardona (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guevara (62'), Martin (74'), Tenaglia (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Poblense 1-6 Villarreal
Tuesday, October 29 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Mallorca
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Alaves

Alaves can take encouragement from their recent record against Villarreal, and we are expecting Saturday's game to be close in terms of the scoreline. However, the Yellow Submarine should be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlaves
46.18% (0.371 0.37) 24.5% (-0.158 -0.16) 29.32% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.93% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.37% (0.587 0.59)45.62% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.05% (0.556 0.56)67.95% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.398 0.4)19.86% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04% (0.64 0.64)51.96% (-0.642 -0.64)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.14699999999999 0.15)28.96% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.182 0.18)64.85% (-0.184 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 46.18%
    Alaves 29.32%
    Draw 24.5%
VillarrealDrawAlaves
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.32%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves

Villarreal
85.9%
Draw
12.5%
Alaves
1.6%
64
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
1-1
Villarreal
Omorodion (25')
Garcia (90+2')
Cuenca (42')
Cuenca (44'), Sorloth (71')
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Villarreal
1-1
Alaves
Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Joselu (17'), Mendez (80')
Garcia (69'), Mendez (74')
Alcacer (50')
Pedraza (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid15103231131833
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao168532415929
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca177371620-424
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla155461419-519
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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