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Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2021 at 4pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Mallorca logo

Alaves
0 - 1
Mallorca


Lejeune (38'), Duarte (45+2')
Duarte (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nino (80')
Maffeo (60'), Ndiaye (72'), Rodriguez (90+5')

Preview: Alaves vs. Mallorca - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Alaves will look to bounce back from a disappointing 4-1 opening La Liga defeat when they return to action on Saturday, as they play host to Mallorca.

The hosts were comfortably defeated by Real Madrid in the first game of the campaign, while their visitors earned a commendable point in a 1-1 draw with Real Betis.


Match preview

Real Madrid's Gareth Bale in action with Deportivo Alaves' Pere Pons in La Liga on August 14, 2021© Reuters

Throughout the entirety of last season, Alaves found themselves in a heated battle for survival and occupied a spot in the bottom three on several occasions over the course of the campaign.

El Glorioso dropped into the relegation zone at the half-way mark, and while they enjoyed a brief improvement, they quickly fell back down, sitting dangerously in the drop zone with 10 games left to play.

While they looked worryingly close to falling to the second tier, Alaves found a crucial run of good form following the late appointment of Javier Calleja, winning four of their last nine matches and collecting 15 points to rise out of the bottom three and eventually achieve a 16th-placed finish.

Having narrowly escaped the drop thanks to an impressive run of results, they head into the new season with the hopes of a slightly more comfortable finish, although they did not have the ideal start with a home clash against title-chasing Real Madrid.

A Karim Benzema brace and a Nacho goal saw Los Blancos lead 3-0, but Joselu restored a small degree of hope on the hour mark by converting a penalty to pull a goal back, only for the capital outfit to see the result out and grab a fourth in the dying minutes through Vinicius Junior.

Calleja's men will now look to bounce back and put their first points of the season on the board when they take on newly-promoted Mallorca.

Alaves' Luis Rioja celebrates scoring their first goal on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Saturday's visitors had a mixed start to last season in Spain's second tier but quickly improved to rise to top spot.

With eight games to go, Luis Garcia's men were leapfrogged by Espanyol, but they still collected 14 points from the final six games to ensure they earned an immediate promotion back to the top flight with 82 points after relegation in the 2019-20 season.

As a result, they head into the new La Liga season with the ultimate aim of survival, but they faced a tough opening test against a Real Betis side who finished sixth last season.

Brian Olivan gave Mallorca the lead in the first half, but the visitors drew level on the hour mark through a Manolo Reina own goal, with the game finishing 1-1.

Despite the disappointment of throwing a narrow lead away, Garcia's side should certainly take the positives from a commendable point against a threatening outfit, and they will look to add their first victory at the second time of asking on Saturday in their bid to steer clear of the bottom end of the division.

Alaves La Liga form:
  • L

Mallorca La Liga form:
  • D



Team News

Joselu celebrates scoring for Deportivo Alaves against Real Madrid in La Liga on November 28, 2020© Reuters

Alaves come into the game with a fully fit squad, and Calleja may opt to make changes from the side that was thrashed 4-1 on the opening day.

Joselu will certainly keep his place in the front line, having hit a crucial tally of 11 league goals as they avoided the drop last season, and opened his account for the new campaign last time out.

Attacking midfielder Manu Garcia impressed against Real Madrid, and the former Manchester City player could be one to watch for Alaves this season.

Mallorca's new signing Jaume Costa remains out of action through injury, having missed the first game of the season, while Antonio Sanchez is also ruled out.

Left-back Brian Olivan found the net against Real Betis, and he should continue to offer attacking threat from the left flank alongside dangerous winger Dani Rodriguez.

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Navarro, Lejeune, Laguardia, Duarte; Pina, Moya; Rioja, Garcia, Mendez; Joselu

Mallorca possible starting lineup:
Reina; Maffeo, Valjent, Raillo, Olivan; Baba, Sevilla, Galarreta; Mboula, A Rodriguez, D Rodriguez


SM words green background

We say: Alaves 1-1 Mallorca

While they suffered a heavy defeat on the opening day, Alaves showed some positive signs against Real Madrid and face a much more manageable test on Saturday, although Mallorca will present a unique challenge as they come in on a high from promotion and an impressive opening point.

We put these sides on a fairly level playing field and expect both teams to find the net, while we give neither a clear advantage.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 47.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mallorca in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Alaves vs Mallorca

Alaves
50.0%
Draw
28.1%
Mallorca
21.9%
64
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Real Madrid's Nacho celebrates scoring against Athletic Bilbao in La Liga on May 16, 2021
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Tables header RHS
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3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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