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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Mallorca logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Mallorca

Griezmann (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, November 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Mallorca

Mallorca are capable of making this a tricky match, with the visitors drawing half of their league games this season. Atletico are so strong at home, though, and we are expecting them to record their 10th league victory of the campaign this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
71.27% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 17.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 10.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)42.53% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)64.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)47.24% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.33% (-0.058 -0.06)82.67% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 71.26%
    Mallorca 10.98%
    Draw 17.75%
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.42% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.28% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 71.26%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 17.75%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 10.98%

How you voted: Atletico vs Mallorca

Atletico Madrid
96.1%
Draw
3.9%
Mallorca
0.0%
51
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Atletico
3-1
Mallorca
De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
Nastasic (20')
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Jul 3, 2020 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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