Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
71.27% ( 0.03) | 17.75% ( -0.01) | 10.98% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.47% ( -0.04) | 42.53% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.07% ( -0.04) | 64.93% ( 0.05) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.36% ( -0) | 10.64% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.53% ( -0.01) | 34.47% ( 0.01) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.75% ( -0.08) | 47.24% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.33% ( -0.06) | 82.67% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 71.26% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.75% | 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 10.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |