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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Mallorca logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Mallorca

Griezmann (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, November 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Mallorca

Mallorca are capable of making this a tricky match, with the visitors drawing half of their league games this season. Atletico are so strong at home, though, and we are expecting them to record their 10th league victory of the campaign this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
71.27% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 17.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 10.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)42.53% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)64.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)47.24% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.33% (-0.058 -0.06)82.67% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 71.26%
    Mallorca 10.98%
    Draw 17.75%
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.42% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.28% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 71.26%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 17.75%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 10.98%

How you voted: Atletico vs Mallorca

Atletico Madrid
96.1%
Draw
3.9%
Mallorca
0.0%
51
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Atletico
3-1
Mallorca
De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
Nastasic (20')
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Jul 3, 2020 9pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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