Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
71.27% ( 0.03) | 17.75% ( -0.01) | 10.98% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.47% ( -0.04) | 42.53% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.07% ( -0.04) | 64.93% ( 0.05) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.36% ( -0) | 10.64% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.53% ( -0.01) | 34.47% ( 0.01) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.75% ( -0.08) | 47.24% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.33% ( -0.06) | 82.67% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 71.26% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.75% | 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 10.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |