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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Mallorca logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Mallorca

Griezmann (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, November 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Mallorca

Mallorca are capable of making this a tricky match, with the visitors drawing half of their league games this season. Atletico are so strong at home, though, and we are expecting them to record their 10th league victory of the campaign this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
71.27% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 17.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 10.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)42.53% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)64.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)47.24% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.33% (-0.058 -0.06)82.67% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 71.26%
    Mallorca 10.98%
    Draw 17.75%
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.42% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.28% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 71.26%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 17.75%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 10.98%

How you voted: Atletico vs Mallorca

Atletico Madrid
96.1%
Draw
3.9%
Mallorca
0.0%
51
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Atletico
3-1
Mallorca
De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
Nastasic (20')
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Jul 3, 2020 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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