Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Carrasco (22'), De Paul (50')
Gimenez (79'), Kondogbia (87')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Diaby (9'), Hudson-Odoi (29')
Alonso (41'), Hradecky (65'), Bakker (66'), Hincapie (79')

Atletico Madrid, Bayer Leverkusen both eliminated from Champions League

Atletico Madrid miss a last-gasp penalty to draw 2-2 with Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League, with the result seeing them eliminated from the competition.

Oct 26, 22:11

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Betis 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, October 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen

We are expecting an entertaining game here, as two talented sides battle it out in an all-or-nothing clash. The visitors will be dangerous with the likes of Moussa Diaby on the break, but we think the quality of Simeone's side should be enough to seal a crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
42.24% ( 0.03)	27.05% ( -0.07)	30.7% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 49.56% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.46% (

0.28)

55.53% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29% (

0.23)

76.71% (

-0.23)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

0.14)

25.97% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39% (

0.2)

60.99% (

-0.2)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.95% (

0.17)

33.05% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.36% (

0.19)

69.64% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 42.24%

Bayer Leverkusen 30.7%

Draw 27.05%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.24%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.7%