La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna1 - 2Athletic Bilbao
We said: Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic will be aiming to make it back-to-back away successes over Osasuna, but it is a big ask against the hosts, who have lost just once in front of their own fans this term; Athletic are a classy outfit, though, and we are backing them to edge this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
27.78% ( -0.51) | 27.93% ( -0.26) | 44.29% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 45.57% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
