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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Athletic Bilbao logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Nteka (14')
Ciss (69'), Gumbau (76'), Garcia (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sancet (65', 78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, November 24 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Elfsborg
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Rayo are better than what they have shown in recent weeks, and the hosts will certainly be the fresher of the two sides heading into Sunday's contest. Athletic are in strong form at the moment, though, and we are expecting the Lions to navigate their way to what would be an important victory at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
32.49% (0.396 0.4) 28.24% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 39.27% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 46.67% (0.205 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.54% (0.211 0.21)59.45% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.18% (0.161 0.16)79.82% (-0.164 -0.16)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.389 0.39)33.82% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (0.422 0.42)70.49% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (-0.108 -0.11)29.48% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51% (-0.129 -0.13)65.48% (0.12599999999999 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 32.48%
    Athletic Bilbao 39.26%
    Draw 28.24%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.48%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.24%
0-1 @ 12.17% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 39.26%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano
24.3%
Draw
14.4%
Athletic Bilbao
61.3%
111
Head to Head
May 25, 2024 5.30pm
Dec 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Rayo Vallecano
Guruzeta (23'), Espino (47' og.), Williams (64'), Williams (68')
Vivian (6')

Espino (32'), Falcao (87')
Mar 5, 2023 5.30pm
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (14'), Sancet (28'), Williams (33')
Trejo (5'), Falcao (80')
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (89')
Serrano (30')
Williams (17'), Zarraga (60'), Garcia (69'), Simon (82'), Lekue (86'), Williams (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13GironaGirona2796123540-533
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2677122537-1228
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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