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Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Athletic Bilbao logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Nteka (14')
Ciss (69'), Gumbau (76'), Garcia (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sancet (65', 78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, November 24 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Elfsborg
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

 Rayo are better than what they have shown in recent weeks, and the hosts will certainly be the fresher of the two sides heading into Sunday's contest. Athletic are in strong form at the moment, though, and we are expecting the Lions to navigate their way to what would be an important victory at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
32.49% (0.396 0.4) 28.24% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 39.27% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 46.67% (0.205 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.54% (0.211 0.21)59.45% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.18% (0.161 0.16)79.82% (-0.164 -0.16)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.389 0.39)33.82% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (0.422 0.42)70.49% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (-0.108 -0.11)29.48% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51% (-0.129 -0.13)65.48% (0.12599999999999 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 32.48%
    Athletic Bilbao 39.26%
    Draw 28.24%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.48%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.24%
0-1 @ 12.17% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 39.26%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano
24.3%
Draw
14.4%
Athletic Bilbao
61.3%
111
Head to Head
May 25, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Crespo (84')
Williams (67')
Ruiz de Galarreta (44')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Rayo Vallecano
Guruzeta (23'), Espino (47' og.), Williams (64'), Williams (68')
Vivian (6')

Espino (32'), Falcao (87')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Rayo Vallecano
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (14'), Sancet (28'), Williams (33')
Trejo (5'), Falcao (80')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (89')
Serrano (30')
Williams (17'), Zarraga (60'), Garcia (69'), Simon (82'), Lekue (86'), Williams (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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