La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 25, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico1 - 1Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Villarreal 4-0 Mallorca
Monday, January 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, January 20 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Villarreal
This is set to be a fascinating match; Villarreal will be the fresher of the two sides and will enter the clash off the back of an excellent performance against Mallorca, but Atletico performed brilliantly with 10 men against Leverkusen, and we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to all three points on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
53.5% ( 0.34) | 23.54% ( -0.05) | 22.96% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
