Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
52.93% ( -0.18) | 25.24% ( 0.05) | 21.83% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.5% ( -0.09) | 54.49% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.15% ( -0.07) | 75.85% ( 0.07) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.41% ( -0.11) | 20.59% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.86% ( -0.17) | 53.14% ( 0.17) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.96% ( 0.08) | 40.03% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.32% ( 0.07) | 76.68% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.02% 2-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |