Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
53.61% ( -0.01) | 24.99% ( 0) | 21.4% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.8% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.03% ( -0.01) | 53.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.59% ( -0) | 75.41% ( 0) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.89% ( -0) | 20.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.64% ( -0.01) | 52.36% ( 0.01) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.83% ( 0) | 40.17% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.19% | 76.81% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.67% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.31% Total : 21.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |