Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
51.18% ( -0.1) | 24.34% ( 0.06) | 24.49% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% ( -0.22) | 48.4% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% ( -0.21) | 70.54% ( 0.21) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% ( -0.13) | 18.91% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.59% ( -0.21) | 50.41% ( 0.21) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% ( -0.09) | 34.16% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.14% ( -0.09) | 70.86% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.18% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 24.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |