MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 21:52:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga header desktop

La Liga
Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Real Sociedad logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Real Sociedad

Berenguer (30', 42')
Gomez (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Oyarzabal (88')
Barrenetxea (61'), Merino (90'), Elustondo (90+3'), Le Normand (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Eibar 0-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Malaga 0-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 7 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad

 Both teams will be missing some important players this weekend, but Real Sociedad have been hit the hardest in terms of absentees. Under normal circumstances, we would be backing a draw here, but Athletic can take advantage of the away side's problems to secure a vital three points in the Basque derby. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
39.5% (0.29499999999999 0.29) 27.28% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 33.21% (-0.234 -0.23)
Both teams to score 49.66% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22% (0.192 0.19)55.78% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09% (0.156 0.16)76.91% (-0.158 -0.16)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (0.256 0.26)27.58% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (0.329 0.33)63.1% (-0.331 -0.33)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)31.43% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)67.81% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 39.5%
    Real Sociedad 33.21%
    Draw 27.28%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.09% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.5%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.21%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao
71.8%
Draw
16.9%
Real Sociedad
11.3%
71
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Real Sociedad
3-0
Athletic Bilbao
Le Normand (30'), Kubo (48'), Oyarzabal (66')
Merino (44'), Zubeldia (77')

Herrera (29'), Vivian (44')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 29
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Real Sociedad
Williams (33', 70')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Sociedad
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)
Sancet (40')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Real Sociedad
Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')

Silva (30')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Isak (58' pen.)
Isak (71'), Januzaj (74'), Merino (78'), Guevara (90+3')
Muniain (90+1')
Martinez (56'), de Marcos (59')
Martinez (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!