Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
48.3% ( 0.8) | 25.11% ( -0.11) | 26.59% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 52.94% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.07% ( 0) | 49.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.08% ( 0) | 71.92% ( -0.01) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% ( 0.34) | 20.7% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% ( 0.54) | 53.3% ( -0.55) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% ( -0.55) | 33.23% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.15% ( -0.6) | 69.84% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |