La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 16, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Valladolid0 - 4Sevilla
We said: Real Valladolid 0-1 Sevilla
Sevilla have drawn four of their 11 away league matches this season, while Valladolid have shared the points on three occasions in front of their own fans - we were close to picking a draw here, but we believe that Sevilla's additional quality and recent improvement will allow them to secure a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Sevilla |
27.18% ( -0.1) | 26.06% ( -0.15) | 46.76% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
