Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
46.4% (![]() | 25% (![]() | 28.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.8% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.79% (![]() | 48.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% (![]() | 70.37% (![]() |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.18% (![]() | 20.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.51% (![]() | 53.49% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.21% | 30.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% | 67.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.55% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
15 | Espanyol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 28 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |