Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
46.4% ( 0.04) | 25% ( -0.01) | 28.6% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.8% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.79% ( 0.04) | 48.21% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% ( 0.03) | 70.37% ( -0.03) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.18% ( 0.03) | 20.82% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.51% ( 0.05) | 53.49% ( -0.05) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.21% | 30.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% | 67.07% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |