La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 14, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona0 - 1Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alaves 2-2 Girona
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-2 Sevilla
Saturday, May 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, May 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Girona 1-1 Villarreal
This is a really tricky match to call, as Girona have the third-best home record in La Liga this season, but Villarreal have been solid on their travels and are in strong form. We can see the points being shared on Tuesday evening, with Villarreal good enough to avoid defeat against Michel's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 56.94%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
56.94% ( 2.41) | 20.92% ( 0.06) | 22.14% ( -2.48) |
| Both teams to score 62.18% ( -3.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
