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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Atletico Madrid logo

Villarreal
2 - 2
Atletico

Danjuma (18'), Koke (37' og.)
Pino (10')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Llorente (20'), Sorloth (45+5')
Le Normand (40'), Barrios (43'), Lino (81'), Simeone (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Villarreal
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Juventus
Sunday, August 11 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Villarreal 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's recent record against Villarreal is strong, including a 2-1 victory in the corresponding match last season, and we are backing the same scoreline here, with Sorloth possibly registering against his former club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
29.15% (-0.664 -0.66) 23.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 47% (0.67599999999999 0.68)
Both teams to score 59.08% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (-0.315 -0.31)42.75% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (-0.313 -0.31)65.15% (0.31100000000001 0.31)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)27.62% (0.603 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (-0.783 -0.78)63.15% (0.779 0.78)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.14699999999999 0.15)18.38% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.49% (0.25 0.25)49.51% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 29.15%
    Atletico Madrid 47%
    Draw 23.84%
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.15%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 8.6% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.29% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.11% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.24% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.057 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 47%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Atletico

Villarreal
5.9%
Draw
11.8%
Atletico Madrid
82.3%
237
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
Villarreal
1-2
Atletico
Sorloth (50')
Capoue (27'), Parejo (58'), Mosquera (90+3')
Witsel (9'), Niguez (87')
Griezmann (26'), Barrios (62'), Niguez (90+2')
Nov 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Atletico
3-1
Villarreal
Witsel (45+1'), Griezmann (80'), Lino (85')
Moreno (20')
Capoue (45+2'), Akhomach (77')
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Jackson (9'), Pascual (90+2')
Moreno (36'), Capoue (39'), Baena (75')
Correa (18', 56')
Barrios (68'), Correa (76')
Witsel (70')
Aug 21, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Atletico
0-2
Villarreal

Felix (48'), Gimenez (90+1')
Molina (90+4')
Pino (73'), Moreno (90+7')
Parejo (90+3'), Baena (90+4'), Moreno (90+9')
Jan 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Torres (29'), Moreno (58')
Correa (10'), Kondogbia (67')
Kondogbia (71')
Kondogbia (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona98012891924
2Real Madrid96301961321
3Atletico MadridAtletico9450135817
4Villarreal95221717017
5Osasuna94321314-115
6Athletic Bilbao94231310314
7Mallorca942398114
8Rayo Vallecano9342119213
9Celta Vigo94141615113
10Real BetisBetis933388012
11GironaGirona93331112-112
12Sevilla9333910-112
13AlavesAlaves93151115-410
14Espanyol9315913-410
15Real Sociedad923478-19
16Getafe915367-18
17Leganes915359-48
18Valencia9135513-86
19Real ValladolidValladolid9126519-145
20Las PalmasLas Palmas9036917-83


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