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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Atletico Madrid logo

Villarreal
2 - 2
Atletico

Danjuma (18'), Koke (37' og.)
Pino (10')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Llorente (20'), Sorloth (45+5')
Le Normand (40'), Barrios (43'), Lino (81'), Simeone (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Villarreal
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Juventus
Sunday, August 11 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Villarreal 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's recent record against Villarreal is strong, including a 2-1 victory in the corresponding match last season, and we are backing the same scoreline here, with Sorloth possibly registering against his former club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
29.15% (-0.664 -0.66) 23.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 47% (0.67599999999999 0.68)
Both teams to score 59.08% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (-0.315 -0.31)42.75% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (-0.313 -0.31)65.15% (0.31100000000001 0.31)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)27.62% (0.603 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (-0.783 -0.78)63.15% (0.779 0.78)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.14699999999999 0.15)18.38% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.49% (0.25 0.25)49.51% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 29.15%
    Atletico Madrid 47%
    Draw 23.84%
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.15%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 8.6% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.29% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.11% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.24% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.057 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 47%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Atletico

Villarreal
5.9%
Draw
11.8%
Atletico Madrid
82.3%
237
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
Villarreal
1-2
Atletico
Sorloth (50')
Capoue (27'), Parejo (58'), Mosquera (90+3')
Witsel (9'), Niguez (87')
Griezmann (26'), Barrios (62'), Niguez (90+2')
Nov 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Atletico
3-1
Villarreal
Witsel (45+1'), Griezmann (80'), Lino (85')
Moreno (20')
Capoue (45+2'), Akhomach (77')
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Jackson (9'), Pascual (90+2')
Moreno (36'), Capoue (39'), Baena (75')
Correa (18', 56')
Barrios (68'), Correa (76')
Witsel (70')
Aug 21, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Atletico
0-2
Villarreal

Felix (48'), Gimenez (90+1')
Molina (90+4')
Pino (73'), Moreno (90+7')
Parejo (90+3'), Baena (90+4'), Moreno (90+9')
Jan 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Torres (29'), Moreno (58')
Correa (10'), Kondogbia (67')
Kondogbia (71')
Kondogbia (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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