Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
29.15% (![]() | 23.84% (![]() | 47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.25% (![]() | 42.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.85% (![]() | 65.15% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% (![]() | 27.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.85% (![]() | 63.15% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.62% (![]() | 18.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.49% (![]() | 49.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
2-1 @ 7.12% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.15% | 1-1 @ 11.06% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.37% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 3.52% Total : 47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
14 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |