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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Atletico Madrid logo

Villarreal
2 - 2
Atletico

Danjuma (18'), Koke (37' og.)
Pino (10')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Llorente (20'), Sorloth (45+5')
Le Normand (40'), Barrios (43'), Lino (81'), Simeone (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Villarreal
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Juventus
Sunday, August 11 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Villarreal 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's recent record against Villarreal is strong, including a 2-1 victory in the corresponding match last season, and we are backing the same scoreline here, with Sorloth possibly registering against his former club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
29.15% (-0.664 -0.66) 23.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 47% (0.67599999999999 0.68)
Both teams to score 59.08% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (-0.315 -0.31)42.75% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (-0.313 -0.31)65.15% (0.31100000000001 0.31)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)27.62% (0.603 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (-0.783 -0.78)63.15% (0.779 0.78)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.14699999999999 0.15)18.38% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.49% (0.25 0.25)49.51% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 29.15%
    Atletico Madrid 47%
    Draw 23.84%
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.15%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 8.6% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.29% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.11% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.24% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.057 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 47%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Atletico

Villarreal
5.9%
Draw
11.8%
Atletico Madrid
82.3%
237
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
Villarreal
1-2
Atletico
Sorloth (50')
Capoue (27'), Parejo (58'), Mosquera (90+3')
Witsel (9'), Niguez (87')
Griezmann (26'), Barrios (62'), Niguez (90+2')
Nov 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Atletico
3-1
Villarreal
Witsel (45+1'), Griezmann (80'), Lino (85')
Moreno (20')
Capoue (45+2'), Akhomach (77')
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Jackson (9'), Pascual (90+2')
Moreno (36'), Capoue (39'), Baena (75')
Correa (18', 56')
Barrios (68'), Correa (76')
Witsel (70')
Aug 21, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Atletico
0-2
Villarreal

Felix (48'), Gimenez (90+1')
Molina (90+4')
Pino (73'), Moreno (90+7')
Parejo (90+3'), Baena (90+4'), Moreno (90+9')
Jan 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Torres (29'), Moreno (58')
Correa (10'), Kondogbia (67')
Kondogbia (71')
Kondogbia (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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