League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 30
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
We said: Derry City 3-1 Bohemians
Given Friday's clash is a must-win match for Derry, who have a strong home record, it would be surprising if they failed to take all three points.
As for Bohemians, though they have won two of their last five matches in the league, they have struggled for consistency throughout the season, and it is difficult to see how they can achieve victory against their hosts.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 53.25% . A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 21.52% .
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.42%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%) , while for a Bohemians win it was 0-1 (7.53%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood .
Result Derry City Draw Bohemians 53.25% ( -0.12) 25.23% ( -0.01) 21.52% ( 0.13)
Both teams to score 47.27% ( 0.17)
45.25% ( 0.15) 54.74% ( -0.15)
23.94% ( 0.12) 76.06% ( -0.12)
79.44% ( 0.01) 20.56% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.91% ( 0.01) 53.08% ( -0.01)
59.51% ( 0.22) 40.49% ( -0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.9% ( 0.19) 77.09% ( -0.2)
Derry City 53.24%
Bohemians 21.52%
Draw 25.22%
Derry City Draw Bohemians 1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.24% 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.22% 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.52%
How you voted: Derry vs Bohemians
21
rhs 2.0
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