We said: Drogheda United 1-1 Sligo Rovers
This is a really difficult match to call, especially just a week after the two sides met in the cup. A case can be made for either team to win it, but we are expecting a tight match and have therefore had to settle on a low-scoring draw in the League of Ireland Premier Division contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.