UCD1 - 3Drogheda
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, July 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
for
Friday, July 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
We said: University College Dublin 0-3 Drogheda United
Although UCD are desperate to pick up points in a bid to avoid the drop, Drogheda will be regarded as firm favourites to claim maximum points on Friday and they should have few problems running away with a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.
Result | ||
University College Dublin | Draw | Drogheda United |
21.19% ( 0.07) | 24.72% ( 0.02) | 54.09% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.29% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.83% ( 0.01) | 53.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% ( 0.01) | 74.74% ( -0.01) |
University College Dublin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.07% ( 0.08) | 39.93% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.41% ( 0.08) | 76.59% ( -0.08) |
Drogheda United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.39% ( -0.03) | 19.61% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.45% ( -0.05) | 51.56% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
University College Dublin | Draw | Drogheda United |
1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.19% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.39% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.82% Total : 54.08% |
How you voted: UCD vs Drogheda
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shelbourne | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 63 |
2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 61 |
3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 59 |
4 | Derry CityDerry | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Galway United | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 52 |
6 | Sligo RoversSligo | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 49 |
7 | Waterford UnitedWaterford | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
8 | Bohemians | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 34 |
10 | DundalkDundalk | 36 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 26 |
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