Drogheda

1 - 2

Derry

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.