We said: Dundalk 2-1 Shamrock Rovers
It is a crucial top-of-the-league clash on Friday, and because of that, it is likely to be quite a cagey and closely-contested battle between the two teams.
Shamrock Rovers might be sat top at the moment, but they have struggled away from home this season which is why this provides Dundalk the perfect chance to close the gap.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
